Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.422853 0.496080 0.576122 0.669836 0.776259 0.893065 1.030665
2025-01-19 0.297677 0.393253 0.508243 0.655529 0.837792 1.054474 1.329948
2025-01-26 0.230701 0.337123 0.475841 0.666964 0.920073 1.240071 1.670912
2025-02-02 0.184486 0.294756 0.448877 0.674816 0.991407 1.412242 2.005482
2025-02-09 0.150258 0.260479 0.424535 0.678585 1.052406 1.570989 2.330753
2025-02-16 0.127983 0.238816 0.413290 0.696738 1.131729 1.757415 2.704157
2025-02-23 0.108073 0.216542 0.396681 0.702812 1.191256 1.917448 3.048789
2025-03-02 0.086764 0.187302 0.363768 0.677713 1.198561 1.998713 3.281441
2025-03-09 0.076383 0.175708 0.358363 0.695906 1.274084 2.186180 3.682300
2025-03-16 0.066597 0.163202 0.349197 0.705838 1.335758 2.354852 4.063054
2025-03-23 0.061627 0.159494 0.355448 0.743064 1.445442 2.605706 4.585419
2025-03-30 0.052672 0.145333 0.339496 0.737525 1.480032 2.735718 4.921251
2025-04-06 0.044291 0.130861 0.321187 0.726140 1.504518 2.852805 5.247285
2025-04-13 0.037531 0.118705 0.305795 0.718488 1.534852 2.981540 5.600122
2025-04-20 0.033438 0.112349 0.301907 0.733320 1.607986 3.188331 6.095206
2025-04-27 0.029521 0.105498 0.295798 0.742621 1.670848 3.380179 6.574033
2025-05-04 0.025845 0.098378 0.287893 0.746961 1.723891 3.556875 7.034717
2025-05-11 0.023455 0.094478 0.287132 0.766740 1.809003 3.796422 7.617331
2025-05-18 0.020725 0.088768 0.280914 0.773357 1.867409 3.989174 8.124790
2025-05-25 0.016982 0.078532 0.261176 0.746125 1.852621 4.042445 8.381142
2025-06-01 0.015508 0.075807 0.261190 0.765873 1.939094 4.293949 9.012794
2025-06-08 0.013890 0.072057 0.257731 0.776652 2.006672 4.511889 9.591111
2025-06-15 0.013327 0.072282 0.265766 0.817030 2.142367 4.870483 10.448562